Apple’s iPhone 6 Plus: Why millions are missing in action by Philip Elmer-DeWitt @FortuneMagazine 7:15 AM EDT E-mail Tweet Facebook Google Plus Linkedin Share icons If the news is good — and it looks like it was — Apple will release first weekend iPhone 6 sales numbers before the markets close today. But the company is not likely to say anything about how those sales were split between the big iPhone 6 and the bigger iPhone 6 Plus. That’s information they’ll want to keep from their competitors. We did get some third-party estimates arrived over the weekend, but they come from two different sources, and — curiously — they contradict each other. The chart above happens be from the mobile analytics firm Mixpanel, but the one put out by a competitor, Fiksu, is not much different. Both show iPhone 6 activity (in-app purchases, etc.) over the first three days of sales outpacing the iPhone 6 Plus by more than seven to one. Yet a Piper Jaffray survey of 386 customers lined up Friday to buy iPhones in New York City and Minneapolis returned a very different result: More than half (57%) said they were in the queue to buy the iPhone 6 Plus. Only 43% were there for the iPhone 6. What explains the apparent discrepancy? China. Resellers buying for the Chinese market — where demand for Galaxy Note-size phones is strong and the new iPhones not yet available — dominated Apple Store lines in the U.S., especially in cities like New York, where the Chinese American population, according the 2012 census, is 522,619. On Saturday, one visitor estimated, 90% of the buyers at the Apple Store in Soho were Asians. Here’s the thing: Even if those iPhones had already found their way to China and been activated, Fiksu and Mixpanel might not have counted them. “Our map is zoomed in to show the US and Europe because the majority of Fiksu’s clients focus on user acquisition in those areas,” reads Fiksu’s fine print. “Our data on Asia-Pacific may not be representative.” Source: blog.livedoor.jp UPDATE: The ratio of Asian Americans in Soho dropped visibly Sunday after Chinese customs officials were reported to be confiscating grey market iPhones. Meanwhile a reader in Berlin writes that the lines there were dominated by Russians and Poles buying for resale in their respective home markets. See also: Where China’s grey market hits the sidewalks of New York. Follow Philip Elmer-DeWitt on Twitter at @philiped. Read his Apple AAPL coverage at fortune.com/ped or subscribe via his RSS feed.