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Belarus

This European dictator is the bond market’s best friend

By
Chris Matthews
Chris Matthews
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By
Chris Matthews
Chris Matthews
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October 30, 2015, 12:24 PM ET
BELARUS-POLITICS-HISTORY
Belarus President Alexander Lukashenko (2nd R) watches Independence Day parade in Minsk, on July 3, 2013. Belarus celebrates tomorrow Independence Day, an official holiday marking the day in 1944 when the Red Army liberated Minsk from Nazi troops during the World War II. AFP PHOTO / BELTA / POOL/ NIKOLAI PETROV (Photo credit should read NIKOLAI PETROV/AFP/Getty Images)Photograph by Nikolai Petrov — AFP via Getty Images

Absolute power isn’t usually good for one’s sovereign credit rating: just ask Robert Mugabe.

But in a continent with more than its share of countries with shaky credit, it’s Belarus, led by dictator Alexander Lukashenko, that has seen demand for its sovereign bonds soar in recent months, according to a report in Bloomberg. “The bonds have climbed at twice the pace of Russia’s since February. And Ashmore Group Plc, which owned Belarus Eurobonds as of the end of September, says the rally has further to go,” the report reads.

Though the Belarusian economy, like it’s neighbor Russia, has been hit hard by the recent decline in oil prices, Lukashenko has deftly managed the geopolitical situation in the region to his advantage. According to Bloomberg:

Wedged between Russia and the European Union, the former Soviet republic is in the unfamiliar position of receiving largesse from both sides simultaneously. While Moscow provided a $760 million loan to Belarus this summer, the EU eased sanctions on the country on Thursday as a reward for Lukashenko’s decision to release political prisoners and host talks between Russia and Ukraine that led to a peace deal in February.

That money has helped shore up Belarusian finances, and the bond market loves it.

 

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