• Home
  • Latest
  • Fortune 500
  • Finance
  • Tech
  • Leadership
  • Lifestyle
  • Rankings
  • Multimedia

Trendingnow

1

The U.S. campaigned to host the World Cup. Now soccer fans will trade their countries' train system for the U.S.'s 'D' rated infrastructure

2

The pig in the python: Baby Boomers are strangling the economy they built by refusing to move or retire

3

Jeff Bezos wants the bottom half of earners to pay zero income tax—he says nurses making just $75K should save $12K a year

1

The U.S. campaigned to host the World Cup. Now soccer fans will trade their countries' train system for the U.S.'s 'D' rated infrastructure

2

The pig in the python: Baby Boomers are strangling the economy they built by refusing to move or retire

3

Jeff Bezos wants the bottom half of earners to pay zero income tax—he says nurses making just $75K should save $12K a year

Carlyle boss: Uncertainty is (hopefully) dead

By
Dan Primack
Dan Primack
Down Arrow Button Icon
By
Dan Primack
Dan Primack
Down Arrow Button Icon
November 8, 2012, 9:24 PM ET

FORTUNE — Yesterday I wrote an obituary for “uncertainty,” the catch-all excuse used by CEOs who have chosen to hoard cash rather than spend it on new employees, acquisitions or other expansion activities.

Since then, some folks have emailed to let me know that I’m “an idiot.” And “stupid.” And (my favorite) “someone who knows less about business than my son, who won’t be born for another month.”

But this morning I got some backup from David Rubenstein, co-founder and co-CEO of The Carlyle Group (CG). During the Q&A part of Carlyle’s third quarter earnings call, Rubenstein was asked if the private equity fundraising environment is poised to rebound. Here is the beginning of his reply:

“Well, we hope that will be the case for sure. No doubt that the U.S. economy slowed down a bit in the second and third quarter compared to what had been projected. And I think some of that was uncertainty that where the election was going, and now as that’s resolved, I expect that people will say okay, I’m not going to wait four more years for another president, I’m going to start doing capital expenditures and investing again.”

But he doesn’t know about business, right? He only helps run the world’s largest private equity firm…

Some other choice comments from the call:

  • Rubenstein: “After the lame-duck, we expect that comprehensive tax reform will likely be only agenda of the new Congress and the President. However, we expect that any comprehensive reform will take at least two years. In the context of this reform, carried interest taxation and a great variety of other issues will no doubt be addressed.”
  • Bill Conway: “The trajectory of our internal data on Europe changed during the quarter. Rather than steep declines has had been the case for most of 2012, recent data suggest signs of stabilization. One of our proprietary European indicators, which accurately predicted about five months in advance the European contraction that began in October 2011, is currently showing signs of modest growth.”
  • Conway:  “We see surprisingly rapid growth in household spending in Brazil, but in Japan we are seeing a worrying decline in industrial output. We are monitoring Japan closely to determine whether the decline is limited to Japan or has broader implications. Keep in mind that the economic environment is not the same as the investment environment. In fact we think this is a great investment on which to invest on a very disciplined basis even with weak and mixed macro growth signals.”
  • Conway:  “You will note that more than half of these investments and virtually all of the larger ones were made in the United States with 62% of the equity for the committed transactions in the U.S. industrial and manufacturing sectors. There is a reason for this. To put it bluntly, we believe that the best place in the world to invest today is the United States.”
  • Rubenstein: “I’m concerned now that the markets are extremely frothy and that we’ve never seen rates this low. I would say the underwriting standards of the banks though are probably not as loose as they were in the 2008/2009 – 2007, 2008, 2009 period, but anytime we’ve got rates at these very, very low levels. And nevertheless what’s fueling this is that the central banks print all this money and investors everywhere are seeking return and yield…. And I think from the standpoint of the Carlyle’s responsibility to our limited partners and our unit holders, we’ve responsibility to really take advantage of this while it’s being offered. And on the other hand, we also have the responsibility to be positioned for the fact that it’s not going to go on forever. And so, for example, you’re not just trying to borrow money and use the benefit of these short-term very low rates or – in the short run very low rates, but also you’re trying to make sure that you have confidence that give you extreme flexibility that you have revolvers that can be used maybe for a time when things aren’t as cheap as they are today.

Sign up for Dan’s daily email newsletter on deals and deal-makers: GetTermSheet.com

About the Author
By Dan Primack
See full bioRight Arrow Button Icon

Latest in

Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025

Most Popular

Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Fortune Secondary Logo
Rankings
  • 100 Best Companies
  • Fortune 500
  • Global 500
  • Fortune 500 Europe
  • Most Powerful Women
  • World's Most Admired Companies
  • See All Rankings
  • Lists Calendar
Sections
  • Finance
  • Fortune Crypto
  • Features
  • Leadership
  • Health
  • Commentary
  • Success
  • Retail
  • Mpw
  • Tech
  • Lifestyle
  • CEO Initiative
  • Asia
  • Politics
  • Conferences
  • Europe
  • Newsletters
  • Personal Finance
  • Environment
  • Magazine
  • Education
Customer Support
  • Frequently Asked Questions
  • Customer Service Portal
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms Of Use
  • Single Issues For Purchase
  • International Print
Commercial Services
  • Advertising
  • Fortune Brand Studio
  • Fortune Analytics
  • Fortune Conferences
  • Business Development
  • Group Subscriptions
About Us
  • About Us
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map
  • About Us
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map
  • Facebook icon
  • Twitter icon
  • LinkedIn icon
  • Instagram icon
  • Pinterest icon

Latest in

g
North AmericaEducation
Techlash grows in education: ‘My daughter went to middle school and was sent home with a screen addiction in her backpack’
By Jocelyn Gecker and The Associated PressMay 26, 2026
2 minutes ago
t
PoliticsIran
Iran slams U.S. strikes as sign of ‘bad faith and unreliability’
By The Associated PressMay 26, 2026
7 minutes ago
Jensen Huang waving
SuccessView from the C-Suite
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang admits he criticizes everything his 42,000-plus employees show him: ‘You can’t go a day without some criticism’
By Preston ForeMay 26, 2026
7 minutes ago
Leading without a blueprint: the new reality for European technology chiefs
EuropeFortune 500 Europe
Leading without a blueprint: the new reality for European technology chiefs
By Aslesha MehtaMay 26, 2026
9 minutes ago
a
EnergyCorporate Governance
BP ousts chairman months into his tenure, citing ‘important governance standards, oversight and conduct’ concerns
By Michelle Chapman and The Associated PressMay 26, 2026
11 minutes ago
The First National Bank of America logo on a green layered background.
Personal FinanceCertificates of Deposit (CDs)
First National Bank of America CD rates 2026: High APYs and terms up to 10 years
By Joseph HostetlerMay 26, 2026
52 minutes ago

Most Popular

The U.S. campaigned to host the World Cup. Now soccer fans will trade their countries' train system for the U.S.'s 'D' rated infrastructure
Travel & Leisure
The U.S. campaigned to host the World Cup. Now soccer fans will trade their countries' train system for the U.S.'s 'D' rated infrastructure
By Catherina GioinoMay 25, 2026
1 day ago
The pig in the python: Baby Boomers are strangling the economy they built by refusing to move or retire
Economy
The pig in the python: Baby Boomers are strangling the economy they built by refusing to move or retire
By Nick LichtenbergMay 25, 2026
1 day ago
Jeff Bezos wants the bottom half of earners to pay zero income tax—he says nurses making just $75K should save $12K a year
Success
Jeff Bezos wants the bottom half of earners to pay zero income tax—he says nurses making just $75K should save $12K a year
By Preston ForeMay 21, 2026
5 days ago
Elon Musk's best friend could make more than $100 billion from SpaceX's IPO. His firm is also owed billions by SpaceX
Investing
Elon Musk's best friend could make more than $100 billion from SpaceX's IPO. His firm is also owed billions by SpaceX
By Eva RoytburgMay 25, 2026
1 day ago
A billionaire and an A-list actor found refuge in a 37-home Florida neighborhood with armed guards—proof that privacy is now the ultimate luxury
Real Estate
A billionaire and an A-list actor found refuge in a 37-home Florida neighborhood with armed guards—proof that privacy is now the ultimate luxury
By Marco Quiroz-GutierrezMay 25, 2026
1 day ago
Uber CEO says rideshare 'freed up' his son from having to get a driver’s license—and he's one of many Gen Zers who aren’t willing to drive
Lifestyle
Uber CEO says rideshare 'freed up' his son from having to get a driver’s license—and he's one of many Gen Zers who aren’t willing to drive
By Sasha RogelbergMay 24, 2026
2 days ago

© 2026 Fortune Media IP Limited. All Rights Reserved. Use of this site constitutes acceptance of our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy | CA Notice at Collection and Privacy Notice | Do Not Sell/Share My Personal Information
FORTUNE is a trademark of Fortune Media IP Limited, registered in the U.S. and other countries. FORTUNE may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Offers may be subject to change without notice.