There’s bad news about your favorite burger by Benjamin Snyder @FortuneMagazine February 26, 2015, 11:51 AM EST E-mail Tweet Facebook Google Plus Linkedin Share icons Have a hankering for a cheaper burger or a less pricey steak? Too bad. Beef prices are unlikely to dip any time soon for American carnivores. The government believes that beef output may drop to a 22-year low this year, according to Bloomberg. The surge in beef has the U.S. Department of Agriculture weighing in with ominous news for consumers: Retail prices for beef are expected to increase another 5% to 6% this year. That’s a bigger jump than any other food group, Bloomberg reported. The size of the cattle herd at the start of this year was actually 1.4% larger year-over-year at 89.8 million animals, the government said. But output is unlikely to rise—commercial beef production is expected to drop 0.1% this year to 24.22 billion pounds. This year will mark the fifth decline in a row and the lowest amount of beef produced since 1993, the USDA said earlier this month. The news comes after limited beef supply in 2014 caused prices to spike last year as well.