Survey: 44% of Verizon Android users likely to switch to iPhone on Day One

For Blackberry users it's 66%, and nearly a quarter are willing to stand in line to get one

We're not familiar with the work of uSamp, a high-tech online research firm based in Los Angeles, but if the results of the survey (PDF) they released last week are accurate, Research in Motion (rimm) is in trouble and the run on Google (goog) Android phones is about to hit a wall.

Drawing from a pool of 4.7 million panelists, uSamp asked a sample of 727 AT&T (t) and Verizon (vz) smartphone owners how likely they were to switch to Verizon's version of Apple's (aapl) iPhone next Thursday, Feb. 10, the first day it goes on sale.

The results are posted in full below the fold. The key findings:

  • Among Android owners, 44% are either very likely (19%) or somewhat likely (25%) to buy an iPhone on Feb. 10.
  • Among RIM owners, 66% are very likely (32%) or somewhat likely (34%) to switch on Day One.
  • Nearly a quarter (24%) of the Android and RIM switchers say they'd be willing to stand in line to get one of the first Verizon iPhones.
  • Owners of AT&T (t) iPhones are less likely to switch (8% very likely, 18% somewhat) but the switchers are more likely (29%) than RIM or Android owners to stand in line that first day. Perhaps they have more practice queuing up for an iPhone.

Below: The survey results in detail.

<!-- more -->

Also on

[Follow Philip Elmer-DeWitt on Twitter @philiped]

All products and services featured are based solely on editorial selection. FORTUNE may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website.

Quotes delayed at least 15 minutes. Market data provided by Interactive Data. ETF and Mutual Fund data provided by Morningstar, Inc. Dow Jones Terms & Conditions: S&P Index data is the property of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. and its licensors. All rights reserved. Terms & Conditions. Powered and implemented by Interactive Data Managed Solutions