While demand for BlackBerries and Palm Pres is drying up, according to ChangeWave
Take this with the usual grain of salt, based, as it is, on a survey of early adopters who have already decided to buy a smartphone in the next three months.
But in a ChangeWave report released Wednesday, 30% of respondents said they would prefer to have a phone running Google’s GOOG Android operating system — a five-fold increase from six months ago and up 9 points since December.
Only 29% preferred Apple’s AAPL iPhone OS X, up 1 point from December, and 13% wanted Research in Motion’s RIMM BlackBerry OS, down 5 points. Demand for Microsoft’s MSFT Windows Mobile and Palm’s PALM Web OS remain in single digits.
“Only six months ago,” the report notes, “Motorola was virtually dead in the water at 1%.” Today the popularity of its Droid model could bump it another 3 points to 16% of planned purchases. Meanwhile HTC, which built the first Android phones and manufactures Google’s Nexus One, also picked up 3%.
The BlackBerry is still the smartphone to beat among ChangeWave members, with 38% of the market compared with the iPhone’s 33%. But Apple is gaining steadily, as the chart below shows.
The survey was conducted between March 9 and March 23 among 4,040 consumers drawn, according the ChangeWave Alliance website, from “a worldwide group of 25,000 highly qualified business, technology, and medical professionals … who spend their everyday lives working on the frontline of technological change.”