Trading AAPL: A double dose of technical analysis


Philip Elmer-DeWitt is a senior editor at Fortune.

A pair of videos appeared on the Web Tuesday that offer a two-part primer on how to trade Apple (aapl) shares based on technical analysis -- the science (or pseudoscience) of predicting what a stock is about to do based on what it did in the past.

If you're not familiar with such concepts as support, resistance, breakouts and Fibonacci retracements, you can learn a lot from each of them.

Unfortunately, the two videos offer conflicting advice. One says to sell Apple. The other shouts buy! buy! buy!

The more enlightening comes from The Market Club and is basically a promotional video for the company's trading tools. But in four minutes it swiftly demonstrates how to apply Elliot wave analysis and the Williams percent range to Apple's recent stock movements and suggests that the stock -- which has enjoyed a 61 point (78%) run-up since Jan. 20 -- may be ready for a pullback.

The more entertaining (or irritating, depending on your sensibilities) is tape of Tuesday's episode of Jim Cramer's Mad Money. Quoting extensively from his favorite technical analyst, Cramer argues that tech stocks in general are about to break out and recommends, in particular, buying Apple.

Cramer also offers several predictions about what Apple is going to do at the World Wide Developers Conference next week, some of which strike us as dubious. But advice from Jim Cramer, who famously described on tape to how he could manipulate the market for Apple when he ran a hedge fund, is always best taken with a grain of salt.

See the videos below the fold.

See also:

<!-- more -->




All products and services featured are based solely on editorial selection. FORTUNE may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website.

Quotes delayed at least 15 minutes. Market data provided by Interactive Data. ETF and Mutual Fund data provided by Morningstar, Inc. Dow Jones Terms & Conditions: http://www.djindexes.com/mdsidx/html/tandc/indexestandcs.html. S&P Index data is the property of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. and its licensors. All rights reserved. Terms & Conditions. Powered and implemented by Interactive Data Managed Solutions